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                from the TopBy 
                Jill Levy
   In 
                the early morning of April 1, 1946 there was an earthquake in 
                the Aleutian Islands. Almost five hours later the largest and 
                most destructive tsunami waves ever recorded struck the Hawaiian 
                Islands. There was no warning. Waves of water 54 feet high penetrated 
                more than half a mile into the Big Island.   
                Thirty years later, New York City was pounded by a financial tsunami 
                that brought the city to the brink of bankruptcy. A growing gap 
                between City revenues and expenses combined with a stagnant economy 
                nearly caused New York to default on its bond obligations. The 
                problem was compounded by a decision not to disclose certain information 
                about the true state of the City’s finances. The nation turned 
                its back on New York City with the jeering headline, Ford to 
                NY, “Drop dead!”  
                Almost a quarter of a century later, after the 2000 presidential 
                election, fiscal and political pressures began to negatively impact 
                our economy. In New York City, public schools were immediately 
                caught in the maelstrom. Now, in the aftershock of the World Trade 
                Center tragedy, economic ripples are quickly turning into a fiscal 
                tsunami.   
                Today, similarities to 1975 are eerie. Over the past six months 
                consumer confidence has dropped significantly. Many people are 
                experiencing “negative wealth” as their investment portfolios 
                decline and huge job losses occur across the country. After September 
                11th, the disastrous impacts on the airline industry, Wall Street 
                jitters and the loss of income to NYC have intensified economic 
                uncertainty. The cost of the World Trade Center disaster to NYC 
                has been estimated to be somewhere between $40 and $100 billion. 
                A crisis of this magnitude has not hit our city since the Great 
                Depression.  
                The origins of this financial disaster were in motion long before 
                September 11th. Unheralded by the media and many legislators, 
                the Mayor’s April budget projections already pointed to a growing 
                sea of red ink. September 11th added to the projected budget deficit. 
                In 1975, the deficit shortfall that brought the City to its knees 
                was $1.5 billion on a $15 billion budget. Today, analysts are 
                predicting a possible $4 to $6 billion deficit on the City’s $39 
                billion budget. Unlike the unanticipated Hawaiian tsunami, the 
                Mayor is trying to meet this wave head-on by imposing a hiring 
                freeze and budget cuts ranging from an additional 2.5 percent 
                for the Board of Education to 15 percent for other city agencies.  
                Unlike other city agencies, New York City’s schools were already 
                struggling to overcome previously imposed cuts of $150 million 
                by the Mayor and the “bare bones” state budget piling on another 
                $150 million to be cut. Add to that a $2.8 billion shortfall in 
                the school construction budget and our public schools are no longer 
                able to ride the wave, but are about to be sucked under.   
                It is going to take more than just belt tightening to stop this 
                educational tsunami. Our city, and especially our schools, are 
                in trouble. If we are going to weather this storm, we need as 
                much support from the State and the Federal governments as they 
                gave to war torn countries in the past and supply to our allies 
                today. In 1975, the City was eventually forced to lay off 60,000 
                city employees and delay repairs and improvements to the infrastructure. 
                The public schools lost music, art and after-school programs along 
                with the finest professional faculties ever to be found in an 
                urban school system. Twenty-five years later, still suffering 
                with the effects of the 1975 fiscal tsunami, we are being forced 
                to go under again.  
                In a system that has historically mismanaged its human resources, 
                we will witness the exodus of educational leaders and professionals 
                never before seen in the history of NYC public schools. Businesses 
                will not remain in our city without a highly educated workforce. 
                We will never again be able to attract teachers and school leaders 
                to work in such a devastated public school system. And ultimately 
                – “suffer the little children.”  
                In 1946, a total of 159 tsunami-related fatalities resulted from 
                the destruction in Hawaii. Many were curious school children who 
                ventured into the exposed reef area, not knowing the receding 
                water to be a sign of an approaching tsunami. Do we have the political 
                will and courage to protect our children and the future of our 
                city? Or, are educational needs to be overshadowed by expedient 
                corporate and political interests? Is education the #1 political 
                issue only when the public and the politicians have nothing else 
                to worry about?  Jill 
                Levy is the President of the Council of Supervisors & Administrators.   Education Update, Inc., P.O. Box 20005, New York, NY 10001. Tel: 
  (212) 481-5519. Fax: (212) 481-3919. Email: ednews1@aol.com.All material is copyrighted and may not be printed without express consent of 
  the publisher. © 2001.
 
 
   
 
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